New International Mission Planned as Somalia Prepares for ATMIS Exit
With just months left before the African Union forces leave Somalia, international stakeholders are working to finalize plans for a new stabilization mission, AUSSOM (African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia). This mission, set to replace the current ATMIS operation by January 2025, aims to support Somali forces as they gradually take over full responsibility for national security.
At a recent meeting in Washington, D.C., the Somalia Quint Group—which includes the U.S., Qatar, Türkiye, the UAE, and the UK—emphasized the urgency of securing financial and logistical backing for AUSSOM. The mission’s success will heavily depend on the continued training of Somali security forces, as well as international support, to prevent the country from falling back into instability. A senior U.S. official warned that without adequate resources, there is a risk that Al-Shabaab could exploit any emerging security gaps.
Al-Shabaab remains a persistent threat. The group has escalated its attacks, including a deadly bombing in Mogadishu on August 2 that claimed 37 lives. Intelligence reports indicate that the militant group has gained access to more sophisticated weaponry, heightening concerns about Somalia’s vulnerability. Somali forces, supported by international allies, are intensifying their operations against the group, but they still face significant challenges.
A new defense pact with Egypt is expected to play a key role in the upcoming transition. Cairo has pledged 5,000 troops to bolster Somalia’s security under the AUSSOM mission. This development comes amidst rising regional tensions, particularly between Somalia and Ethiopia. The latter’s recent agreement to establish a naval base in Somaliland has sparked outrage in Somalia, which views the move as an infringement on its sovereignty.
In addition to security, Somalia is making progress on the political front. In early 2024, the government introduced constitutional amendments and began preparations for its first universal suffrage elections. However, this progress remains fragile, as stability is essential for further democratic reforms.
Despite these advancements, time is running short. The international community is now racing to ensure that the necessary resources are in place before the African Union forces leave in January 2025.