Ghana’s cocoa production is expected to recover in the 2024/25 crop season, supported by favorable weather conditions, according to reports from farmers, Cocobod officials, and local buyers. However, challenges such as illegal gold mining, smuggling, and disease continue to threaten the sector.
The world’s second-largest cocoa producer experienced a significant setback in the previous season, with output dropping to its lowest in over two decades—below 55% of the average seasonal yield. Similar issues in neighboring Ivory Coast have contributed to a four-year global cocoa supply deficit, driving cocoa prices to record levels.
Ghana now projects production to reach 650,000 tons this season, though the International Cocoa Organization estimates a more conservative 500,000 tons. Farmers have reported healthier cocoa pods this year, aided by improved rainfall, timely use of fertilizers, and pesticides. Abdul-Majid Mumuni, head of Cocobod’s cocoa health division, noted that productivity has improved significantly, with some trees bearing over 50 pods.
Farmers like Ocran Christopher in the Asamankese district have already seen notable progress, harvesting 500 bags since September, compared to 820 bags for the entire previous season. They anticipate yields of up to 2,500 bags if conditions remain favorable.
Despite the optimism, farmers are wary of potential outbreaks of black pod disease and continued bean smuggling. Smuggling accounted for over a third of Ghana’s cocoa losses last season, prompting Cocobod to raise farmgate prices by nearly 45% and introduce a new funding model requiring global traders to pay upfront for cocoa shipments.
While the new system aims to curb trafficking, some farmers and buyers worry that limited funds could slow purchases, potentially exacerbating smuggling. Cocobod remains cautiously optimistic, reporting increased cocoa deliveries early in the season while closely monitoring developments.
This rebound is critical for Ghana, as cocoa remains a cornerstone of its economy and a vital contributor to global cocoa supply.